Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence by Katherine Hibbs Pherson & Randolph H. Pherson

Author:Katherine Hibbs Pherson & Randolph H. Pherson
Language: eng
Format: mobi, epub
Tags: Intelligence & Espionage, International Relations, Political Science, General
ISBN: 9781544374277
Publisher: CQ Press
Published: 2020-08-14T05:00:00+00:00

Broaden the context. When an official asks for specific information or intelligence to justify his or her position, frame the response in a broader context, providing the recipient with the data directly relevant to the request as well as any associated information and analysis that is contradictory. Offer up the pros and the cons in a comprehensive framework to enable the decision maker to act based on a fully informed set of facts and analysis.

Focus on strategic drivers. Take the initiative to generate an “arms-length” strategic view of the situation, identifying key drivers and establishing an overarching framework for understanding the dynamics at play. Once such a framework is established, tactical disagreements over how to interpret specific items of information become far easier to resolve.

Employ structured techniques. Rely more heavily on Structured Analytic Techniques—such as Indicators, Argument Mapping, Deception Detection, Analysis of Competing Hypotheses, and Premortem Analysis—that can demonstrate in a compelling way how the official can avoid becoming the victim of a mental mindset or a cognitive trap.

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